Trend regime, momentum, risk — and what a rule-based system does about it. Computed daily by the IVEST research system. As of 2026-07-09.
1-year price (gold) vs 200-day moving average (dashed). Last close 68.17
These rules describe how systematic trend-following strategies typically operate — a framework, not a recommendation for any individual.
| Horizon | Return | Universe percentile |
|---|---|---|
| 1M | +3.2% | 55 |
| 3M | +22.1% | 86 |
| 6M | +14.9% | 70 |
| 12M | +39.7% | 78 |
Cross-sectional percentile ranks SSO against ~200 liquid US names — a stock can be "up" and still lag the tape. Persistent top-quartile momentum across horizons is the profile trend systems allocate to.
Trend regime uses the 200-day moving average — the same gate the IVEST core applies before holding leveraged exposure. Composite score = 40·(trend) + 40·(momentum percentile) + 20·(1 − volatility percentile): fully transparent. Beta/correlation vs SPY over the last 12 months. Every number regenerates daily from raw prices — no analyst opinion in the loop.
Yes — SSO trades +14.9% above its 200-day moving average, the classic systematic uptrend definition.
No page can answer that for you — but a trend system's checklist is public: regime ✅ above the 200-day line; momentum percentile 86/100; extension normal; predefined exit at 59.33. If any of those words are unfamiliar, position sizing — not stock picking — is the first thing to learn (Kelly calculator).
59.33 as of 2026-07-09 (close 68.17, +14.9%). The 50-day sits at 66.40 — the 50/200 relationship is currently a golden cross.
Annualized volatility 31%, worst single day in the last year -5.4%, worst peak-to-trough -18%. Beta to SPY: 1.99. Size positions so that this drawdown profile is survivable — see the playbook above.